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Planning Fallacy

Tendency to underestimate risks and require effort while making a decision

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Authors
Title
Year
Source title
Volume
Cited by
DOI
Baron R.A.
Cognitive mechanisms in entrepreneurship: Why and when enterpreneurs think differently than other pe
1998
Journal of Business Venturing
13
696
10.1016/S0883-9026(97)00031-1
Buehler R., Griffin D., Ross M.
Exploring the "Planning Fallacy": Why People Underestimate Their Task Completion Times
1994
Journal of Personality and Social Psychology
67
630
10.1037/0022-3514.67.3.366
Wilson T.D., Wheatley T., Meyers J.M., Gilbert D.T., Axsom D.
Focalism: A source of durability bias in affective forecasting
2000
Journal of Personality and Social Psychology
78
424
10.1037/0022-3514.78.5.821
Kruger J., Evans M.
If you don't want to be late, enumerate: Unpacking reduces the planning fallacy
2004
Journal of Experimental Social Psychology
40
101
10.1016/j.jesp.2003.11.001
Flyvbjerg B.
Quality control and due diligence in project management: Getting decisions right by taking the outsi
2013
International Journal of Project Management
31
83
10.1016/j.ijproman.2012.10.007
Roy M.M., Christenfeld N.J.S., McKenzie C.R.M.
Underestimating the duration of future events: Memory incorrectly used or memory bias?
2005
Psychological Bulletin
131
82
10.1037/0033-2909.131.5.738
Sanna L.J., Schwarz N.
Integrating temporal biases: The interplay of focal thoughts and accessibility experiences
2004
Psychological Science
15
73
10.1111/j.0956-7976.2004.00704.x
Francis-Smythe J.A., Robertson I.T.
On the relationship between time management and time estimation
1999
British Journal of Psychology
90
67
10.1348/000712699161459
Staats B.R., Milkman K.L., Fox C.R.
The team scaling fallacy: Underestimating the declining efficiency of larger teams
2012
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Process
118
64
10.1016/j.obhdp.2012.03.002
Griffin D., Buehler R.
Frequency, Probability, and Prediction: Easy Solutions to Cognitive Illusions?
1999
Cognitive Psychology
38
61
10.1006/cogp.1998.0707
Buehler R., Griffin D., Peetz J.
The Planning Fallacy. Cognitive, Motivational, and Social Origins
2010
Advances in Experimental Social Psychology
43
59
10.1016/S0065-2601(10)43001-4
Alter A.L., Oppenheimer D.M., Zemla J.C.
Missing the trees for the forest: a construal level account of the illusion of explanatory depth.
2010
Journal of personality and social psychology
99
56
10.1037/a0020218
Koole S., van't Spijker M.
Overcoming the planning fallacy through willpower: Effects of implementation intentions on actual an
2000
European Journal of Social Psychology
30
53
10.1002/1099-0992(200011/12)30:6<873::AID-EJSP22>3
Pychyl T.A., Morin R.W., Salmon B.R.
Procrastination and the Planning Fallacy: An Examination of the Study Habits of University Students
2000
Journal of Social Behavior and Personality
15
51
Sears S.R., Stanton A.L.
Expectancy-value constructs and expectancy violation as predictors of exercise adherence in previous
2001
Health Psychology
20
48
10.1037/0278-6133.20.5.326
Svenson O.
Decisions among time saving options: When intuition is strong and wrong
2008
Acta Psychologica
127
47
10.1016/j.actpsy.2007.09.003
Weick M., Guinote A.
How long will it take? Power biases time predictions
2010
Journal of Experimental Social Psychology
46
43
10.1016/j.jesp.2010.03.005
Sanna L.J., Chang E.C., Parks C.D., Carter S.E.
The hourglass is half full or half empty: Temporal framing and the group planning fallacy
2005
Group Dynamics
9
39
10.1037/1089-2699.9.3.173
LeBoeuf R.A., Shafir E.
Anchoring on the "Here" and "Now" in Time and Distance Judgments
2009
Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning Memor
35
27
10.1037/a0013665
Buehler R., Peetz J., Griffin D.
Finishing on time: When do predictions influence completion times?
2010
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Process
111
25
10.1016/j.obhdp.2009.08.001

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Autori

Baron R.A.

Titolo

Cognitive mechanisms in entrepreneurship: Why and when enterpreneurs think differently than other pe

Anno

1998

Source Title

Journal of Business Venturing

Volume

13

Cited by

696

DOI

10.1016/S0883-9026(97)00031-1


Autori

Buehler R., Griffin D., Ross M.

Titolo

Exploring the "Planning Fallacy": Why People Underestimate Their Task Completion Times

Anno

1994

Source Title

Journal of Personality and Social Psychology

Volume

67

Cited by

630

DOI

10.1037/0022-3514.67.3.366


Autori

Wilson T.D., Wheatley T., Meyers J.M., Gilbert D.T., Axsom D.

Titolo

Focalism: A source of durability bias in affective forecasting

Anno

2000

Source Title

Journal of Personality and Social Psychology

Volume

78

Cited by

424

DOI

10.1037/0022-3514.78.5.821


Autori

Kruger J., Evans M.

Titolo

If you don't want to be late, enumerate: Unpacking reduces the planning fallacy

Anno

2004

Source Title

Journal of Experimental Social Psychology

Volume

40

Cited by

101

DOI

10.1016/j.jesp.2003.11.001


Autori

Flyvbjerg B.

Titolo

Quality control and due diligence in project management: Getting decisions right by taking the outsi

Anno

2013

Source Title

International Journal of Project Management

Volume

31

Cited by

83

DOI

10.1016/j.ijproman.2012.10.007


Autori

Roy M.M., Christenfeld N.J.S., McKenzie C.R.M.

Titolo

Underestimating the duration of future events: Memory incorrectly used or memory bias?

Anno

2005

Source Title

Psychological Bulletin

Volume

131

Cited by

82

DOI

10.1037/0033-2909.131.5.738


Autori

Sanna L.J., Schwarz N.

Titolo

Integrating temporal biases: The interplay of focal thoughts and accessibility experiences

Anno

2004

Source Title

Psychological Science

Volume

15

Cited by

73

DOI

10.1111/j.0956-7976.2004.00704.x


Autori

Francis-Smythe J.A., Robertson I.T.

Titolo

On the relationship between time management and time estimation

Anno

1999

Source Title

British Journal of Psychology

Volume

90

Cited by

67

DOI

10.1348/000712699161459


Autori

Staats B.R., Milkman K.L., Fox C.R.

Titolo

The team scaling fallacy: Underestimating the declining efficiency of larger teams

Anno

2012

Source Title

Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Process

Volume

118

Cited by

64

DOI

10.1016/j.obhdp.2012.03.002


Autori

Griffin D., Buehler R.

Titolo

Frequency, Probability, and Prediction: Easy Solutions to Cognitive Illusions?

Anno

1999

Source Title

Cognitive Psychology

Volume

38

Cited by

61

DOI

10.1006/cogp.1998.0707


Autori

Buehler R., Griffin D., Peetz J.

Titolo

The Planning Fallacy. Cognitive, Motivational, and Social Origins

Anno

2010

Source Title

Advances in Experimental Social Psychology

Volume

43

Cited by

59

DOI

10.1016/S0065-2601(10)43001-4


Autori

Alter A.L., Oppenheimer D.M., Zemla J.C.

Titolo

Missing the trees for the forest: a construal level account of the illusion of explanatory depth.

Anno

2010

Source Title

Journal of personality and social psychology

Volume

99

Cited by

56

DOI

10.1037/a0020218


Autori

Koole S., van't Spijker M.

Titolo

Overcoming the planning fallacy through willpower: Effects of implementation intentions on actual an

Anno

2000

Source Title

European Journal of Social Psychology

Volume

30

Cited by

53

DOI

10.1002/1099-0992(200011/12)30:6<873::AID-EJSP22>3


Autori

Pychyl T.A., Morin R.W., Salmon B.R.

Titolo

Procrastination and the Planning Fallacy: An Examination of the Study Habits of University Students

Anno

2000

Source Title

Journal of Social Behavior and Personality

Volume

15

Cited by

51

DOI


Autori

Sears S.R., Stanton A.L.

Titolo

Expectancy-value constructs and expectancy violation as predictors of exercise adherence in previous

Anno

2001

Source Title

Health Psychology

Volume

20

Cited by

48

DOI

10.1037/0278-6133.20.5.326


Autori

Svenson O.

Titolo

Decisions among time saving options: When intuition is strong and wrong

Anno

2008

Source Title

Acta Psychologica

Volume

127

Cited by

47

DOI

10.1016/j.actpsy.2007.09.003


Autori

Weick M., Guinote A.

Titolo

How long will it take? Power biases time predictions

Anno

2010

Source Title

Journal of Experimental Social Psychology

Volume

46

Cited by

43

DOI

10.1016/j.jesp.2010.03.005


Autori

Sanna L.J., Chang E.C., Parks C.D., Carter S.E.

Titolo

The hourglass is half full or half empty: Temporal framing and the group planning fallacy

Anno

2005

Source Title

Group Dynamics

Volume

9

Cited by

39

DOI

10.1037/1089-2699.9.3.173


Autori

LeBoeuf R.A., Shafir E.

Titolo

Anchoring on the "Here" and "Now" in Time and Distance Judgments

Anno

2009

Source Title

Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning Memor

Volume

35

Cited by

27

DOI

10.1037/a0013665


Autori

Buehler R., Peetz J., Griffin D.

Titolo

Finishing on time: When do predictions influence completion times?

Anno

2010

Source Title

Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Process

Volume

111

Cited by

25

DOI

10.1016/j.obhdp.2009.08.001