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Illusion of Validity

We tend to overestimate our ability to make accurate and reliable predictions

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Authors
Title
Year
Source title
Volume
Cited by
DOI
Griffin D., Tversky A.
The weighing of evidence and the determinants of confidence
1992
Cognitive Psychology
24
813
10.1016/0010-0285(92)90013-R
Einhorn H.J., Hogarth R.M.
Confidence in judgment: Persistence of the illusion of validity
1978
Psychological Review
85
690
10.1037/0033-295X.85.5.395
de Langhe B., Fernbach P.M., Lichtenstein D.R.
Navigating by the stars: Investigating the actual and perceived validity of online user ratings
2016
Journal of Consumer Research
42
90
10.1093/jcr/ucv047
Gilles F., Gressens P., Dammann O., Leviton A.
Hypoxia–ischemia is not an antecedent of most preterm brain damage: the illusion of validity
2018
Developmental Medicine and Child Neurology
60
22
10.1111/dmcn.13483
Bushyhead J.B., Christensen-Szalanski J.J.J.
Feedback and the Illusion of Validity in a Medical Clinic
1981
Medical Decision Making
1
20
10.1177/0272989X8100100203
Berthold H.K., Descamps O.S., Gouni-Berthold I.
Lipoprotein apheresis in isolated hyperlipoproteinemia(a): A validated treatment or an illusion of v
2013
European Journal of Clinical Investigation
43
9
10.1111/eci.12014
Lendrem D.W., Lendrem B.C., Woods D., Rowland-Jones R., Burke M., Chatfield M., Isaacs J.D., Owen M.
Lost in space: Design of experiments and scientific exploration in a Hogarth Universe
2015
Drug Discovery Today
20
5
10.1016/j.drudis.2015.09.015
De Langhe B., Fernbach P.M., Lichtenstein D.R.
Star wars: Response to Simonson, Winer/Fader, and Kozinets
2016
Journal of Consumer Research
42
4
10.1093/jcr/ucw007
Ilomäki J.
Framed Field Experiment with Stock Market Professionals
2012
Journal of Behavioral Finance
13
2
10.1080/15427560.2012.733984
Alkhars M., Evangelopoulos N., Pavur R., Kulkarni S.
Cognitive biases resulting from the representativeness heuristic in operations management: An experi
2019
Psychology Research and Behavior Management
12
1
10.2147/PRBM.S193092
Brodie M.L.
The grand challenge in information technology and the illusion of validity
2002
Lecture Notes in Computer Science (including subse
2348
1
Hyman R.
Talking with the dead, communicating with the future and other myths created by cold reading
2012
Tall Tales about the Mind and Brain: Separating Fa
10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198568773.003.0016

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Autori

Griffin D., Tversky A.

Titolo

The weighing of evidence and the determinants of confidence

Anno

1992

Source Title

Cognitive Psychology

Volume

24

Cited by

813

DOI

10.1016/0010-0285(92)90013-R


Autori

Einhorn H.J., Hogarth R.M.

Titolo

Confidence in judgment: Persistence of the illusion of validity

Anno

1978

Source Title

Psychological Review

Volume

85

Cited by

690

DOI

10.1037/0033-295X.85.5.395


Autori

de Langhe B., Fernbach P.M., Lichtenstein D.R.

Titolo

Navigating by the stars: Investigating the actual and perceived validity of online user ratings

Anno

2016

Source Title

Journal of Consumer Research

Volume

42

Cited by

90

DOI

10.1093/jcr/ucv047


Autori

Gilles F., Gressens P., Dammann O., Leviton A.

Titolo

Hypoxia–ischemia is not an antecedent of most preterm brain damage: the illusion of validity

Anno

2018

Source Title

Developmental Medicine and Child Neurology

Volume

60

Cited by

22

DOI

10.1111/dmcn.13483


Autori

Bushyhead J.B., Christensen-Szalanski J.J.J.

Titolo

Feedback and the Illusion of Validity in a Medical Clinic

Anno

1981

Source Title

Medical Decision Making

Volume

1

Cited by

20

DOI

10.1177/0272989X8100100203


Autori

Berthold H.K., Descamps O.S., Gouni-Berthold I.

Titolo

Lipoprotein apheresis in isolated hyperlipoproteinemia(a): A validated treatment or an illusion of v

Anno

2013

Source Title

European Journal of Clinical Investigation

Volume

43

Cited by

9

DOI

10.1111/eci.12014


Autori

Lendrem D.W., Lendrem B.C., Woods D., Rowland-Jones R., Burke M., Chatfield M., Isaacs J.D., Owen M.

Titolo

Lost in space: Design of experiments and scientific exploration in a Hogarth Universe

Anno

2015

Source Title

Drug Discovery Today

Volume

20

Cited by

5

DOI

10.1016/j.drudis.2015.09.015


Autori

De Langhe B., Fernbach P.M., Lichtenstein D.R.

Titolo

Star wars: Response to Simonson, Winer/Fader, and Kozinets

Anno

2016

Source Title

Journal of Consumer Research

Volume

42

Cited by

4

DOI

10.1093/jcr/ucw007


Autori

Ilomäki J.

Titolo

Framed Field Experiment with Stock Market Professionals

Anno

2012

Source Title

Journal of Behavioral Finance

Volume

13

Cited by

2

DOI

10.1080/15427560.2012.733984


Autori

Alkhars M., Evangelopoulos N., Pavur R., Kulkarni S.

Titolo

Cognitive biases resulting from the representativeness heuristic in operations management: An experi

Anno

2019

Source Title

Psychology Research and Behavior Management

Volume

12

Cited by

1

DOI

10.2147/PRBM.S193092


Autori

Brodie M.L.

Titolo

The grand challenge in information technology and the illusion of validity

Anno

2002

Source Title

Lecture Notes in Computer Science (including subse

Volume

2348

Cited by

1

DOI


Autori

Hyman R.

Titolo

Talking with the dead, communicating with the future and other myths created by cold reading

Anno

2012

Source Title

Tall Tales about the Mind and Brain: Separating Fa

Volume

Cited by

DOI

10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198568773.003.0016