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Hot-hand Fallacy

Having accomplished a series of successes, there is the tendency to think that other positive results will be obtained

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Authors
Title
Year
Source title
Volume
Cited by
DOI
Ayton, P., Fischer, I.
The hot hand fallacy and the gambler's fallacy: Two faces of subjective randomness?
2004
Memory and Cognition
32
236
10.3758/BF03206327
Rabin, M., Vayanos, D.
The gambler's and hot-hand fallacies: Theory and applications
2010
Review of Economic Studies
77
99
10.1111/j.1467-937X.2009.00582.x
Alter, A.L., Oppenheimer, D.M.
From a fixation on sports to an exploration of mechanism: The past, present, and future of hot hand
2006
Thinking and Reasoning
12
29
10.1080/13546780600717244
Xu, J., Harvey, N.
Carry on winning: The gamblers' fallacy creates hot hand effects in online gambling
2014
Cognition
131
27
10.1016/j.cognition.2014.01.002
Duthoo, W., WĂĽhr, P., Notebaert, W.
The hot-hand fallacy in cognitive control: Repetition expectancy modulates the congruency sequence e
2013
Psychonomic Bulletin and Review
20
25
10.3758/s13423-013-0390-7
Dohmen, T., Falk, A., Huffman, D., Marklein, F., Sunde, U.
Biased probability judgment: Evidence of incidence and relationship to economic outcomes from a repr
2009
Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization
72
25
10.1016/j.jebo.2009.07.014
Miller, J.B., Sanjurjo, A.
Surprised by the Hot Hand Fallacy? A Truth in the Law of Small Numbers
2018
Econometrica
86
21
10.3982/ECTA14943
Kudryavtsev, A., Cohen, G., Hon-Snir, S.
"Rational" or "intuitive": Are behavioral biases correlated across stock market investors?
2013
Contemporary Economics
7
16
10.5709/ce.1897-9254.81
Suetens, S., Galbo-Jørgensen, C.B., Tyran, J.-R.
PREDICTING LOTTO NUMBERS: A NATURAL EXPERIMENT ON THE GAMBLER'S FALLACY AND THE HOT-HAND FALLACY
2016
Journal of the European Economic Association
14
13
10.1111/jeea.12147
Dong, G., Lin, X., Zhou, H., Du, X.
Decision-making after continuous wins or losses in a randomized guessing task: Implications for how
2014
Behavioral and Brain Functions
10
11
10.1186/1744-9081-10-11
Militana, E., Wolfson, E., Cleaveland, J.M.
An effect of inter-trial duration on the gambler's fallacy choice bias
2010
Behavioural Processes
84
9
10.1016/j.beproc.2010.02.010
Green, B., Zwiebel, J.
The hot-hand fallacy: Cognitive mistakes or equilibrium adjustments? Evidence from Major League Base
2018
Management Science
64
8
10.1287/mnsc.2017.2804
Frydman, C., Nave, G.
Extrapolative beliefs in perceptual and economic decisions: Evidence of a common mechanism
2017
Management Science
63
8
10.1287/mnsc.2016.2453
Stöckl, T., Huber, J., Kirchler, M., Lindner, F.
Hot hand and gambler's fallacy in teams: Evidence from investment experiments
2015
Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization
117
7
10.1016/j.jebo.2015.07.004
Wang, T.V., Potter van Loon, R.J.D., van den Assem, M.J., van Dolder, D.
Number preferences in lotteries
2016
Judgment and Decision Making
11
6
Khan, M.T.I., Tan, S.-H., Chong, L.-L.
How past perceived portfolio returns affect financial behaviors—The underlying psychological mechani
2017
Research in International Business and Finance
42
5
10.1016/j.ribaf.2017.07.088
Ji, L.-J., McGeorge, K., Li, Y., Lee, A., Zhang, Z.
Culture and gambling fallacies
2015
SpringerPlus
4
5
10.1186/s40064-015-1290-2
Lin, X.
Feeling Is Believing? Evidence From Earthquake Shaking Experience and Insurance Demand
2020
Journal of Risk and Insurance
87
4
10.1111/jori.12291
Pinger, P., Schäfer, S., Schumacher, H.
Locus of control and consistent investment choices
2018
Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics
75
4
10.1016/j.socec.2018.05.004
Yuan, J., Sun, G.-Z., Siu, R.
The lure of illusory luck: How much are people willing to pay for random shocks
2014
Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization
106
4
10.1016/j.jebo.2014.06.003

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Autori

Ayton, P., Fischer, I.

Titolo

The hot hand fallacy and the gambler's fallacy: Two faces of subjective randomness?

Anno

2004

Source Title

Memory and Cognition

Volume

32

Cited by

236

DOI

10.3758/BF03206327


Autori

Rabin, M., Vayanos, D.

Titolo

The gambler's and hot-hand fallacies: Theory and applications

Anno

2010

Source Title

Review of Economic Studies

Volume

77

Cited by

99

DOI

10.1111/j.1467-937X.2009.00582.x


Autori

Alter, A.L., Oppenheimer, D.M.

Titolo

From a fixation on sports to an exploration of mechanism: The past, present, and future of hot hand

Anno

2006

Source Title

Thinking and Reasoning

Volume

12

Cited by

29

DOI

10.1080/13546780600717244


Autori

Xu, J., Harvey, N.

Titolo

Carry on winning: The gamblers' fallacy creates hot hand effects in online gambling

Anno

2014

Source Title

Cognition

Volume

131

Cited by

27

DOI

10.1016/j.cognition.2014.01.002


Autori

Duthoo, W., WĂĽhr, P., Notebaert, W.

Titolo

The hot-hand fallacy in cognitive control: Repetition expectancy modulates the congruency sequence e

Anno

2013

Source Title

Psychonomic Bulletin and Review

Volume

20

Cited by

25

DOI

10.3758/s13423-013-0390-7


Autori

Dohmen, T., Falk, A., Huffman, D., Marklein, F., Sunde, U.

Titolo

Biased probability judgment: Evidence of incidence and relationship to economic outcomes from a repr

Anno

2009

Source Title

Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization

Volume

72

Cited by

25

DOI

10.1016/j.jebo.2009.07.014


Autori

Miller, J.B., Sanjurjo, A.

Titolo

Surprised by the Hot Hand Fallacy? A Truth in the Law of Small Numbers

Anno

2018

Source Title

Econometrica

Volume

86

Cited by

21

DOI

10.3982/ECTA14943


Autori

Kudryavtsev, A., Cohen, G., Hon-Snir, S.

Titolo

"Rational" or "intuitive": Are behavioral biases correlated across stock market investors?

Anno

2013

Source Title

Contemporary Economics

Volume

7

Cited by

16

DOI

10.5709/ce.1897-9254.81


Autori

Suetens, S., Galbo-Jørgensen, C.B., Tyran, J.-R.

Titolo

PREDICTING LOTTO NUMBERS: A NATURAL EXPERIMENT ON THE GAMBLER'S FALLACY AND THE HOT-HAND FALLACY

Anno

2016

Source Title

Journal of the European Economic Association

Volume

14

Cited by

13

DOI

10.1111/jeea.12147


Autori

Dong, G., Lin, X., Zhou, H., Du, X.

Titolo

Decision-making after continuous wins or losses in a randomized guessing task: Implications for how

Anno

2014

Source Title

Behavioral and Brain Functions

Volume

10

Cited by

11

DOI

10.1186/1744-9081-10-11


Autori

Militana, E., Wolfson, E., Cleaveland, J.M.

Titolo

An effect of inter-trial duration on the gambler's fallacy choice bias

Anno

2010

Source Title

Behavioural Processes

Volume

84

Cited by

9

DOI

10.1016/j.beproc.2010.02.010


Autori

Green, B., Zwiebel, J.

Titolo

The hot-hand fallacy: Cognitive mistakes or equilibrium adjustments? Evidence from Major League Base

Anno

2018

Source Title

Management Science

Volume

64

Cited by

8

DOI

10.1287/mnsc.2017.2804


Autori

Frydman, C., Nave, G.

Titolo

Extrapolative beliefs in perceptual and economic decisions: Evidence of a common mechanism

Anno

2017

Source Title

Management Science

Volume

63

Cited by

8

DOI

10.1287/mnsc.2016.2453


Autori

Stöckl, T., Huber, J., Kirchler, M., Lindner, F.

Titolo

Hot hand and gambler's fallacy in teams: Evidence from investment experiments

Anno

2015

Source Title

Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization

Volume

117

Cited by

7

DOI

10.1016/j.jebo.2015.07.004


Autori

Wang, T.V., Potter van Loon, R.J.D., van den Assem, M.J., van Dolder, D.

Titolo

Number preferences in lotteries

Anno

2016

Source Title

Judgment and Decision Making

Volume

11

Cited by

6

DOI


Autori

Khan, M.T.I., Tan, S.-H., Chong, L.-L.

Titolo

How past perceived portfolio returns affect financial behaviors—The underlying psychological mechani

Anno

2017

Source Title

Research in International Business and Finance

Volume

42

Cited by

5

DOI

10.1016/j.ribaf.2017.07.088


Autori

Ji, L.-J., McGeorge, K., Li, Y., Lee, A., Zhang, Z.

Titolo

Culture and gambling fallacies

Anno

2015

Source Title

SpringerPlus

Volume

4

Cited by

5

DOI

10.1186/s40064-015-1290-2


Autori

Lin, X.

Titolo

Feeling Is Believing? Evidence From Earthquake Shaking Experience and Insurance Demand

Anno

2020

Source Title

Journal of Risk and Insurance

Volume

87

Cited by

4

DOI

10.1111/jori.12291


Autori

Pinger, P., Schäfer, S., Schumacher, H.

Titolo

Locus of control and consistent investment choices

Anno

2018

Source Title

Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics

Volume

75

Cited by

4

DOI

10.1016/j.socec.2018.05.004


Autori

Yuan, J., Sun, G.-Z., Siu, R.

Titolo

The lure of illusory luck: How much are people willing to pay for random shocks

Anno

2014

Source Title

Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization

Volume

106

Cited by

4

DOI

10.1016/j.jebo.2014.06.003